The $200,000 mistake thousands of KiwiSavers made
Thousands of KiwiSaver members who switched their investments into less risky funds when Covid-19 first hit still haven't switched back - and it could cost them hundreds of thousands of dollars.
There was a surge in switching from growth funds to conservative funds in March 2020, when sharemarkets around the world wobbled.
Westpac said it processed 18,140 requests to switch in that time.
Markets soon recovered, but 27%of those KiwiSaver members never switched back to more growth-focused assets, Westpac said.
Another 17% took more than a year to switch back and 12% switched back in between six to 12 months.
If an investor is investing for a long time - such as for retirement - growth funds often deliver better outcomes because they tend to have higher returns, although they are more volatile. Shifting from a growth fund when markets are weak can mean locking in losses.
Morningstar research shows that, as a group, conservative KiwiSaver funds have returned an average 4.1% a year over 10 years, compared to 8.2% for growth funds and 9.1% for aggressive.
Westpac projected that someone with $25,000 in KiwiSaver who switched from a growth fund to a conservative fund on March 20, 2020, would end up with $387,938 in 2054.
But if they had left their money in a growth fund, they would have $615,423 - boosting their final outcome by more than $225,000.
If they had shifted in March 2020 and then moved back a year later, they would have $588,955 in 2054.
Even over a shorter term, the impact can be seen. Someone who shifted on March 20, 2020 and left their money in a conservative fund would have $120,880 in 2034. If they shifted back after a year, they could have $145,693 and if they had not shifted, and stayed in growth, they would have $156,472.
That assumes that person is earning the median wage, getting a 3% pay rise a year, and making 3% KiwiSaver contributions matched by a 3% employer contribution.
Westpac head of KiwiSaver Nigel Jackson said the number of people who had not switched back highlighted the "education gap" for New Zealanders in relation to long-term saving and retirement.
"Being in the right fund is really important and being in the wrong fund will cost you money in the long term."
Westpac has now launched a new high-growth fund that will have 100% growth assets and Jackson said it would be important that investors understood the possibility for volatility, as well as the potential returns available, so that they could stick with it and not switch out at the wrong moment.
"It's one of those challenges, you can tell people it's going to happen but it's still a challenge for them when it does happen. It's critical they understand the possibility is there so they have the context. If they don't have the right information, that's the point of highest risk when they can lock in unrealised losses by transferring to lower-risk funds and experience that loss at retirement."
Westpac NZ general manager of product, sustainability and marketing Sarah Hearn agreed long-term investors who were not in the right fund would probably short-change themselves at retirement.
"The Covid-19 experience and more recent market fluctuations should serve as a reminder to regularly think about your investment goals, whether you're saving for retirement or a first home deposit. That includes checking you're in the right type of fund for you and your stage in life," she said.
"Market volatility is normal and expected. Those of us who aren't nearing retirement will see our balances affected by more economic peaks and troughs before we get there."
The latest Financial Markets Authority annual KiwiSaver report showed growth funds now represent 46% of total funds under management, with $51.4 billion invested, and a total of 1.53 million investors. This is more than double the $24.5b in 2021.
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Poll: Are our Kiwi summer holidays helping us recharge, or holding the economy back? ☀️🥝
There’s growing debate about whether New Zealand’s extended Christmas break (and the slowdown that comes with it) affects productivity.
Tracy Watkins has weighed in ... now it’s your turn. What’s your take? 🤔
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73% We work hard, we deserve a break!
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16.2% Hmm, maybe?
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10.8% Yes!
Brain Teaser of the Day 🧠✨ Can You Solve It? 🤔💬
How many balls of string does it take to reach the moon?
(Peter from Carterton kindly provided this head-scratcher ... thanks, Peter!)
Do you think you know the answer? Simply 'Like' this post and we'll post the answer in the comments below at 2pm on the day!
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Minimum wage to increase from April next year, Govt commits to bigger rise than last year
The Government will increase the minimum wage by 2% from April next year.
Workplace Relations Minister Brooke Van Velden announced the hourly wage would move from the current $23.50 to $23.95 in line with advice from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment.
“Moderate” increases of the minimum wage formed part of NZ First’s coalition agreement with National.
Van Velden says the new rate, which would impact around 122,500 New Zealand workers, strikes a right balance between keeping up with the cost of living – the Reserve Bank expects inflation to fall to around 2% by mid-2026 – and no adding more pressure to the costs of running a business.
The starting out and training minimum wage would be move to $19.16 to remain at 80% of the adult minimum wage.
The minimum wage was last increased on April 1 this year. That 1.5% increased to $23.50, affecting between 80,000 and 145,000 workers, was not at the time in line with inflation which sat around 2.5% in March.
“I know those pressures have made it a tough time to do business, which is why we have taken this balanced approach. With responsible economic management, recovery and relief is coming,” Van Velden said.
“I am pleased to deliver this moderate increase to the minimum wage that reflects this Government’s commitment to growing the economy, boosting incomes and supporting Kiwis in jobs throughout New Zealand.”
Official documents from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) show the department provided the Minister with seven options for the minimum wage, ranging from maintaining the current rate or increasing by 3% up to $24.20 per hour.
A 2% increase was recommended, the Ministry said, as this was ”considered to best balance the two limbs of the objective - protecting the real income of low-paid workers and minimising job losses."
“CPI inflation forecasts suggest annual inflation will ease to be within the 2–2.5% range in the first half of 2026 and remain relatively stable at around 2% from June 2026 through to 2028.
“These forecasts indicate that a 2% increase would largely maintain the real income of minimum wage workers relative to the level of the minimum wage when it last increased on 1 April 2025.”
Officials said a 2% increase wouldn’t have significant employment restraint effects.
But given recent economic data, including a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contraction and elevated unemployment, MBIE said it favoured a “cautious approach”.
“A 2% increase to the adult minimum wage is expected to affect approximately 122,500 workers, including those currently earning at or below the minimum wage, or between the current rate and $23.95.”
The key groups that would be impacted include youth, part-time, female, and Māori workers, as well as sectors like tourism, horticulture, agriculture, cleaning, hospitality, and retail.
“While these workers would benefit from a wage increase, they may also be more exposed to employer responses to increased labour costs such as reduced hours or adjustments to non-wage benefits,” the ministry said
“The estimated fiscal cost to government from this increase is relatively modest, at $17.5 million annually, consistent with the small cost estimates across all rate options.”
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