More messages from your neighbours
26 days ago

Replacing the private long-distance bus terminal would cost ratepayers

Todd Niall Reporter from Auckland Stuff

Hi Neighbours, If the long-distance bus terminal moves out of Sky City's complex, ratepayers will probably foot the bill. Ngāti Whātua opposes AT's plan to put it on their land. See below what it would look like, but should it stay where it is ?

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7 hours ago

Covid 19 coronavirus: Seven new lockdown rules as cases set to hit 1000

Brian from New Lynn

A new health notice has been issued, leaving no doubt about what Kiwis can and cannot do in lockdown - as top officials are today expected to announce that New Zealand has surpassed 1000 confirmed and probable cases of Covid-19. But there are encouraging signs for New Zealand, a nation that is now into its 11th day of lockdown, with at least three more weeks to go. "It may well be [Covid-19] is peaking now because we're seeing it flattening off," Director-General of Health Ashely Bloomfield told reporters yesterday.
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The new Health Notice sets out:
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• Everyone in New Zealand is to be isolated or quarantined at their current place of residence except as permitted for essential personal movement;
• Exercise is to be done in an outdoor place that can be readily accessed from home and two-metre physical distancing must be maintained;
• Recreation and exercise does not involve swimming, water-based activities (for example, surfing or boating), hunting, tramping, or other activities of a kind that expose participants to danger or may require search and rescue services;
• A child can leave the residence of one joint care-giver to visit or stay at the residence of another joint care-giver (and visit or stay at that residence) if there is a shared bubble arrangement;
• A person can leave their residence to visit or stay at another residence (and visit or stay at that residence) under a shared bubble arrangement if:
• One person lives alone in one, or both, of those residences; or
• Everyone in one of those residences is a vulnerable person.
Police Commissioner Andrew Coster welcomed the guidance and said police's primary goal was to ensure people understood the importance of staying home.
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2 hours ago

Is the lockdown working?

Markus from Blockhouse Bay

For all those wondering about whether it is all worth it:

Unchecked the number of COVID-19 cases double every 2-3 days. That equates to 41 or 26% more cases every day.

As an exponential progression is very sensitive to initial variations (do you have 1 or 3 people infected on Mar 3rd?) I start the prediction on Mar 20th when there were 52 people infected (so the simulation is less affected by small variations in the initial numbers) and just bevor New Zealand declared Level 2 restrictions.

Column 1: Alert Level
Column 2: Date
Column 3: Number of cases
Column 4: what numbers should be assuming 2 day doubling time
Column 5: case numbers prevented by lockdown
Column 6: what numbers should be assuming 3 day doubling time
Column 7: case numbers prevented by lockdown

The results show that we have between 1,060 and 12,273 cases less than we would have without the lockdown.

Btw the red difference numbers in column 7 with the 3 day doubling time (essentially more infected with lockdown) are due to the virus doubling faster than 3 days, so the actual numbers are higher than the prediction assuming the slower 3 day doubling time … until NZ hit the brakes hard. Therefore the cases numbers would have been much higher than the 3 day prediction shows.

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